Invesco Mortgage Capital Stock Performance

IVR Stock  USD 8.71  0.28  3.11%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Invesco Mortgage holds a performance score of 16. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.45, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Mortgage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Mortgage is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Invesco Mortgage's total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Invesco Mortgage's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco Mortgage Capital are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Invesco Mortgage reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.11)
Five Day Return
0.23
Year To Date Return
2.71
Ten Year Return
(91.05)
All Time Return
(95.29)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1602
Payout Ratio
0.8406
Last Split Factor
1:10
Forward Dividend Rate
1.44
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
1
SkyWest Downgraded by Zacks Research to Hold
12/18/2025
 
Invesco Mortgage dividend paid on 23rd of January 2026
01/23/2026
2
Invesco Net Inflows And Profit Rebound Challenge Longstanding Bearish Earnings Narratives
01/27/2026
3
Invesco Mortgage Q4 earnings beat on Agency RMBS outperformance
01/29/2026
4
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Economic Return and ...
01/30/2026
5
Boston Scientific CEO Michael Mahoney Sells 160,901 Shares
02/03/2026
6
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Receives Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Analysts
02/05/2026
7
Invesco Pharmaceuticals ETF Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest
02/11/2026
 
Invesco Mortgage dividend paid on 13th of February 2026
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow198.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-497.4 M

Invesco Mortgage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  719.00  in Invesco Mortgage Capital on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  152.00  from holding Invesco Mortgage Capital or generate 21.14% return on investment over 90 days. Invesco Mortgage Capital is generating 0.3263% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.5298% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Invesco, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Mortgage is expected to generate 1.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Invesco Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.71 90 days 8.71 
about 20.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Mortgage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.91 (This Invesco Mortgage Capital probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Mortgage has a beta of 0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Invesco Mortgage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Mortgage Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Mortgage Capital has an alpha of 0.2419, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Mortgage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Mortgage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Mortgage Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.088.6110.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.799.3210.85
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.898.679.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.550.580.60
Details

Invesco Mortgage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Mortgage Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Invesco Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Mortgage Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Invesco Mortgage Capital has 5.62 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.11, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Invesco Mortgage Capital has a current ratio of 0.08, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Invesco to invest in growth at high rates of return.
On 13th of February 2026 Invesco Mortgage paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Invesco Pharmaceuticals ETF Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest

Invesco Mortgage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56 M

Invesco Mortgage Fundamentals Growth

Invesco Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Invesco Mortgage, and Invesco Mortgage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Invesco Stock performance.

About Invesco Mortgage Performance

Assessing Invesco Mortgage's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Invesco Mortgage's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Invesco Mortgage is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.40  0.42 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.13 

Things to note about Invesco Mortgage Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Mortgage Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Invesco Mortgage Capital has 5.62 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.11, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Invesco Mortgage Capital has a current ratio of 0.08, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Invesco to invest in growth at high rates of return.
On 13th of February 2026 Invesco Mortgage paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Invesco Pharmaceuticals ETF Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest
Evaluating Invesco Mortgage's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Invesco Mortgage's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Invesco Mortgage's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Invesco Mortgage's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Invesco Mortgage's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Invesco Mortgage's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Invesco Mortgage's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Invesco Mortgage's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Invesco Mortgage's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Invesco Mortgage's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Invesco Mortgage's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis

When running Invesco Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.